BJP vs Congress
BJP vs Congress is becoming more like comparing Virat Kohli to a district level cricket player. While BJP is gaining more ground and kind of saffronizing whole India Congress is losing teeth to even compete. Mr.Modi is not just a politician but a true leader since there has never been an instance in the past where a Prime Minister from India has got this much global recognition. One good thing with BJP is that they concentrate on building the party and on its bench strength - with demise of Vajpai, Sushma Swaraj, Jaitley, Manohar Parrikar in quick succession party did not go low instead they came up with emerging leaders in the form of Nirmala Sitaraman, Piyush Goyal, Smriti Irani, Anurag Thakur. Modi-Shah partnership is grooming many youngsters and they test waters with young guns and they always look out for results. Now coming to Congress party which is a much older party is literally in ICU state where they neither have senior leaders to lead from the front nor young guns to carry the party forward. Party not just lacks leadership but also direction and intent which are the reasons for the massive setbacks in 2014 and 2019 elections. Congress really didn't prove to be electorally appealing mainly because of its ambiguous and inconsistent formulation to the lowest rungs of the society. Just like how a dummy villain brings down the overall standard of a movie, a weak opposition party cannot play a pivotal role in a democracy. For a vibrant democracy we need a strong and effective opposition. Tamilnadu is one state which is tough nut to crack for both BJP and Congress - unless these parties tie up with Dravidian parties they cannot make any impact.
Let us look into some of the key constituencies in Tamil Nadu
Chennai
Chennai has been DMK's citadel and DMK has contributed much towards Chennai's growth especially during Maran times. Slowly ADMK is capturing Chennai but this time Kamal ji is going to split DMK and ADMK votes. I will not be surprised if MNM wins 1 or 2 constituencies in Chennai and vote percentage of DMK and ADMK will come down due to MNM. Udayanidhi stalin contesting in Chepauk is a big decision and will be interesting to see how he fares up to the big ticket.
Coimbatore
With Corona outbreak one thing that political parties have understood is concept of decentralization. Rather than relying everything on Chennai, people have started to look into tier 2 and tier 3 cities. Coimbatore is rightly called as Manchester of south India. City is heavily influenced by Information technology, Industrial growth in engineering and textile sectors. With Saravanampatty emerging as the new IT hub city is going from strength to strength. Coimbatore has been ADMK's fort and once again Kamal's MNM will split votes between DMK and ADMK. After Chennai there is plenty of youth crowd who will support Kamal in Coimbatore and he himself is contesting in the area is a good decision.
Salem
If at all there is one place in Tamil Nadu that has shown significant growth in the recent past then that has to be Salem and all thanks to EPS. Being part of the defence corridor, promotion of IT emabled services, proposed Chennai-salem highway, Aerospace park in Salem-Namakkal corridor and inaugration of Livestock research centre Salem has undoubtedly going to go to ADMK.
Madurai
Madurai has also been ADMK's fort and 2011 and 2016 elections just shows that party has Madurai as its stronghold. AIIMS project not being started yet is a concern for Madurai residents especially since it has been two years since the foundation stone has been laid. But with Madurai-Tuticorin and Madurai-Coimbatore Industrial corridors, city will attract major business houses. ADMK should pretty much get hold of Madurai
Trichy
Trichy has always been DMK's citadel and party always chooses Trichy to kick off proceedings before State elections. Mahesh Anbil Poyyamozhi is slowly but surely becoming a strong force in Tiruverambur area and he is one of DMK's promising candidates. City badly needs a good leader to take advantage of its geographical location. Sipcot Industrial park at Manapparai and renovation of Airport are some of the very few things that happened in Trichy. Last election DMK and ADMK almost got equal seats and with Thirunavakarusu as Trichy's MP who represent Congress it would be ideal if DMK can take over Trichy by that way they have members to represent both at State and Centre.
Last week I said things are inclining towards with ADMK but with DMK's election manifesto which has over 500 promises they definitely did make a positive influence amongst voters. People are like even if 25% of the listed promises are made then that comes out to over 100 of them. Promises like 12 months of maternity leave, free government bus passes to women, one time financial assistance of 4000 INR to all ration card holders, reduction in fuel prices, LPG price, Aavin milk price all reached masses and suddenly all surveys are predicting DMK's victory.
Next Blog: TN Politics - Big players !!
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